| What
Now?
Rebuilding
Afghanistan after the war will not be easy, say several Tufts
experts, but the international community must rise to the occasion.
Medford/Somerville,
Mass. [01.10.02] -- After 22 years
of fighting, civil wars and destruction, the damage has been done.
Now,
as the U.S. prepares to scale back its recent military operations
in Afghanistan, the war-torn country is again faced with the difficult
job of rebuilding its destroyed infrastructure, feeding millions
of starving people and resolving tensions between local warlords.
But the end of the war shouldn't signal an end to U.S. involvement
in the country, say Tufts experts on the region, just the start
of a new phase.
"One
thing is clear," Rhoda Margesson -- a congressional foreign policy
analyst and student at Tufts'
Fletcher School -- wrote in an opinion piece in the San
Diego Union-Tribune. "The degree to which efforts by the international
community -- the United States, its allies and the United Nations
-- are successful will be the key to Afghanistan's future peace
and stability."
Among
the most pressing issues: starvation.
"Out
of a population of 22.7 million, 6 million Afghans are currently
at risk for starvation," she wrote. "The infrastructure has largely
been destroyed with little agriculture possible as a result of
the war and drought."
Tufts'
Andrew Hess
-- a diplomacy professor at Tufts and a nationally renowned expert
on the region -- said the international community must play a
key role in fixing this problem, by helping Afghanistan rebuild
its infrastructure.
"Some
careful planning has to go into how the regime recovers from the
past 20 years of internal warfare," Hess told the South Florida
Sun-Sentinel. "Much of it involves teaching people how to
engage in small-scale farming and rural business activity, repairing
trucks, that kind of thing. It isn't something that will produce
quick results. It will take a lot longer than the first phase
of the war."
And
Margesson says some of that time should be spent developing new
strategies to make Afghanistan's infrastructure more sound for
the long term.
"Almost
every basic humanitarian need has an environmental component that
will continue to be important for the foreseeable future," she
wrote in the Union-Tribune. "This means that the approach
taken now must consider the long view."
That
means many of the old systems will need to be replaced, not rebuilt.
"Instead of rebuilding conventional, dirty diesel and oil power
plants, the restoration of electric power could involve both the
construction of distributed, clean micro turbines to provide electricity
and heat and the development of wind and solar energy," the Fletcher
student wrote.
This
isn't the time to settle for quick improvements over lasting ones.
"Rather
than take a standard approach to reconstruction," Margesson wrote,
"the international community should consider the ashes of Afghanistan
an opportunity to work with the Afghan people to create something
much better than they had before, something that will withstand
time and take less from the environment."
But
none of these efforts will be successful without strong leadership
from Hamid Karzai -- the country's interim leader.
"Karzai
will have to start from scratch," Hassan Abbas, a student at Tufts'
Fletcher School, wrote in a Boston Herald opinion piece.
"The interim government has been charged with setting up a central
bank, a proper judicial system, a civil service and a human rights
commission. This is real institutional building in essence."
Hess
agrees, but warned that Karzai will face some difficult tasks.
"Unless Karzai can end the banditry and impose control, refugees
will be too scared to return home, opium growing will again surface,
and warlords might begin the vicious cycle of civil wars," Hess
told the Associated Press.
Even
with international attention on Afghanistan's recovery, the country
has already fallen back into its old ways in several places, he
said.
"In
some ways, in terms of the warlords, we're back to where we were
before Sept. 11, really kind of quickly," Hess said in a recent
AP report.
But
Afghanistan's new leadership still has an opportunity to bring
change to the war-torn country, Abbas wrote in the Herald.
"It's
a tall order, but definitely achievable, provided that the international
community, especially the United States, stands by its commitment
and moral responsibility to reconstruct Afghanistan," Abbas wrote.
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